Fighting Hawks vs Bison

Gameday · SAT FEB 27

North DakotaVSNorth Dakota State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip8:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Scheels Center · Fargo, ND

Win probability

1912 blend

13% UNDNDSU 87%

Adj. efficiency12%

88%

SRS9%

91%

Elo19%

81%

NDSU +8.2

Proj. margin

151.0

Proj. total

68.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 12S.HincapieG · 0.7 APG17.0
• 1Z.KraftG · 0.3 APG6.3
• 14L.Winkel0.7 RPG12.0
• 22J.JonesC · 0.0 BPG2.3
• 0C.Evanson3.3 RPG6.3

• 0R.Diaz IIIG · 2.5 APG14.0
• 44A.NagyF · 4.0 RPG9.5
• 1M.Bell Jr.G · 0.5 APG6.8
• 3K.Tate6.0 RPG3.5
• 5A.StefonowiczG · 5.0 APG8.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-10.4Adj. net rating+4.4

278thAdj. net rank123rd

105.3Adj. offense111.3

115.8Adj. defense106.8

69.5Pace68.0

-5.8SRS5.7

1694Elo1947

1–2Record1–3

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

73.3Points76.0

89.0Opp points83.5

45.1%eFG%50.2%

14.0%TO%17.0%

41.7%OREB%41.2%

.40FT rate.28

41%3PA rate46%

40%Assisted FG%46%

Last five games

North Dakota

L77-92@ CLEM

W93-90@ WIN

L50-85@ MINN

L62-70@ NDSU

W67-66@ STMN

North Dakota State

L80-91@ CSUB

L70-79@ SF

L64-105@ SMC

W90-59vs Minnesota Crookston

L67-92@ MSU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UND 62 · NDSU 70Sun, 3/8

25-26UND 63 · NDSU 96Sat, 2/28

25-26NDSU 83 · UND 66Sat, 2/14

24-25NDSU 77 · UND 79Sat, 2/22

24-25UND 82 · NDSU 87Sat, 1/25

23-24UND 68 · NDSU 73Sat, 2/24

23-24NDSU 58 · UND 60Sat, 2/3

22-23UND 75 · NDSU 91Fri, 1/27

22-23NDSU 71 · UND 49Fri, 12/30

21-22NDSU 79 · UND 53Sat, 2/26

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 27 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueScheels Center · Fargo, ND

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.