Hilltoppers vs Blue Raiders

Gameday · SAT FEB 27

Western KentuckyVSMiddle Tennessee

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Murphy Center · Murfreesboro, TN

Win probability

1912 blend

44% WKUMTSU 56%

Adj. efficiency40%

60%

SRS41%

59%

Elo51%

49%

MTSU +2.9

Proj. margin

159.0

Proj. total

73.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 12A.BooneG · 3.0 APG10.5
• 30T.MooreG · 1.8 APG19.3
• 6E.WalkerF · 4.3 RPG3.8
• 13E.Erkins-FordF · 2.8 RPG8.0
• 3S.YoungG · 5.5 APG8.0

• 2J.CarterG · 5.3 APG12.3
• 1Q.Barnett4.0 RPG15.3
• 9O.NavehF · 6.3 RPG4.0
• 0K.SilerC · 1.3 BPG7.7
• 22M.Whitlock Jr.G · 1.3 APG12.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+0.9Adj. net rating+0.7

158thAdj. net rank159th

109.0Adj. offense109.8

108.1Adj. defense109.1

73.4Pace72.5

0.6SRS0.2

1798Elo1789

3–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

84.3Points78.3

63.5Opp points76.7

48.9%eFG%50.8%

13.0%TO%18.0%

35.3%OREB%35.0%

.33FT rate.26

31%3PA rate43%

52%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

Western Kentucky

W78-51vs Campbellsville

L94-97@ TNTC

W82-48vs Kentucky Wesleyan

W83-58vs MORE

L87-96vs KENN

Middle Tennessee

W73-68vs EVAN

L45-89@ KU

W117-73vs Fisk

L69-80@ LT

W75-63@ MOST

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MTSU 80 · WKU 82Sat, 2/14

25-26WKU 65 · MTSU 60Sat, 1/31

24-25MTSU 87 · WKU 77Sat, 2/15

24-25WKU 57 · MTSU 71Sat, 1/18

23-24MTSU 54 · WKU 85Fri, 3/15

23-24WKU 72 · MTSU 74Sat, 2/24

23-24MTSU 65 · WKU 88Sat, 2/3

22-23MTSU 89 · WKU 93Thu, 2/9

22-23WKU 60 · MTSU 65Sat, 12/31

21-22WKU 52 · MTSU 69Sat, 2/26

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 27 · time TBD

VenueMurphy Center · Murfreesboro, TN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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