Wolf Pack vs Falcons
Win probability
1912 blend96% NEVAFA 4%
NEV +8.1
Proj. margin
138.7
Proj. total
64.7
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
3F · 8.0 RPG12.3
7G · 1.3 APG18.7
1G · 4.3 APG19.3
9G · 3.7 APG7.3
0C · 0.7 BPG3.7
334.8 RPG18.5
3G · 4.5 APG20.3
24F · 4.5 RPG16.0
10F · 8.7 RPG12.0
15G · 1.0 APG3.8
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+12.3Adj. net rating-21.9
69thAdj. net rank348th
115.1Adj. offense94.5
102.8Adj. defense116.4
48.5Pace80.9
5.0SRS-16.2
1819Elo1174
2–0Record3–1
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games60.7Points93.5
48.0Opp points83.8
57.1%eFG%47.2%
13.0%TO%13.0%
30.6%OREB%43.4%
.47FT rate.50
29%3PA rate39%
70%Assisted FG%51%
Last five games
Nevada
L63-76@ UCSB
W96-95vs SMC
W86-49vs RMU
L69-75@ AUB
W73-63vs LIB
Air Force
W107-93vs LUC
W89-82vs IDST
W107-58vs Calumet College
L71-102@ WRST
L45-80@ NEV
Head to head
Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-2725-26AFA 45 · NEV 80Wed, 3/11
25-26AFA 59 · NEV 74Sat, 3/7
25-26NEV 81 · AFA 66Sat, 1/17
24-25NEV 74 · AFA 60Tue, 2/4
24-25AFA 62 · NEV 68Tue, 1/14
23-24AFA 54 · NEV 67Tue, 1/9
22-23AFA 52 · NEV 72Fri, 2/3
22-23NEV 75 · AFA 69Sat, 12/31
21-22NEV 75 · AFA 68Sat, 1/15
20-21AFA 68 · NEV 66Sun, 12/20
Game information
TipTuesday, Mar 2 · time TBD
VenueClune Arena · Colorado Springs, CO
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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