Cardinals vs Bulls

Gameday · TUE MAR 2

Ball StateVSBuffalo

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Alumni Arena · Buffalo, NY

Win probability

1912 blend

30% BALLBUF 70%

Adj. efficiency18%

82%

SRS21%

79%

Elo52%

48%

BUF +6.6

Proj. margin

160.9

Proj. total

74.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 24M.JonesF · 8.3 RPG4.7
• 1T.LewisG · 0.3 APG7.3
• 0S.BlakeG · 3.3 APG15.0
• 5K.ParkerG · 0.0 APG8.5
• 2J.Guy-KingG · 1.3 APG14.7

• 21D.SteffeG · 5.3 APG17.3
• 2J.StarlingG · 2.3 APG7.7
• 9A.Lorick IIIF · 10.0 RPG17.0
• 10M.TyneG · 3.3 APG6.0
• 1J.PitreF · 2.7 RPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-12.0Adj. net rating-2.4

294thAdj. net rank197th

97.7Adj. offense112.5

109.7Adj. defense114.9

69.8Pace78.2

-7.2SRS-1.2

1749Elo1734

1–2Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

70.0Points77.7

66.7Opp points79.0

46.8%eFG%48.4%

20.0%TO%19.0%

30.9%OREB%26.9%

.43FT rate.37

47%3PA rate50%

42%Assisted FG%59%

Last five games

Ball State

W89-64vs Brescia

L66-69vs INST

L55-67@ GASO

W85-69vs CMU

W74-71@ WMU

Buffalo

W107-65vs Penn State-Schuylkill

L61-80@ PITT

L65-92@ MRSH

L70-73@ AKR

L78-98@ TOL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BUF 63 · BALL 53Wed, 2/11

25-26BALL 72 · BUF 85Sat, 1/3

24-25BUF 66 · BALL 80Sat, 2/22

24-25BALL 89 · BUF 76Sat, 2/1

23-24BALL 87 · BUF 59Tue, 1/23

22-23BUF 91 · BALL 65Tue, 1/24

21-22BALL 74 · BUF 80Sat, 2/12

21-22BUF 74 · BALL 68Fri, 1/14

20-21BUF 78 · BALL 58Tue, 2/2

20-21BALL 69 · BUF 86Sat, 1/9

Game information

TipTuesday, Mar 2 · time TBD

VenueAlumni Arena · Buffalo, NY

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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