Aggies vs Bears

Gameday · THU MAR 4

New Mexico StateVSMissouri State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip8:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Great Southern Bank Arena · Springfield, MO

Win probability

1912 blend

45% NMSUMOST 55%

Adj. efficiency42%

58%

SRS44%

56%

Elo48%

52%

MOST +2.6

Proj. margin

151.7

Proj. total

68.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 4J.OsborneF · 3.5 RPG8.0
• 0D.DudleyG · 1.5 APG16.0
• 32M.LavrenovF · 7.0 RPG18.0
• 1G.PickensG · 5.0 APG3.0
• 24L.LevillainF · 4.0 RPG4.0

• 1T.Williams Jr.G · 8.0 APG17.0
• 15A.AcimovicC · 2.7 BPG22.0
• 35J.Blair4.7 RPG2.7
• 6D.Rowe2.7 RPG10.0
• 23C.ThompsonF · 5.3 RPG3.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-0.9Adj. net rating-2.1

176thAdj. net rank194th

109.5Adj. offense109.4

110.4Adj. defense111.5

66.2Pace71.5

-0.5SRS-1.9

1754Elo1768

1–2Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

66.3Points85.3

78.3Opp points61.3

48.4%eFG%61.2%

24.0%TO%16.0%

35.0%OREB%21.8%

.42FT rate.34

40%3PA rate40%

48%Assisted FG%59%

Last five games

New Mexico State

L58-60@ UTEP

L68-109@ GONZ

W73-66vs Western New Mexico

L61-69@ SHSU

W68-63@ JVST

Missouri State

W89-62vs Newman University

W79-62vs Truman State

W88-60vs Lincoln (MO)

L66-69@ LT

W77-69@ LIB

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MOST 84 · NMSU 75Thu, 1/22

25-26NMSU 82 · MOST 89Sun, 1/4

Game information

TipThursday, Mar 4 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueGreat Southern Bank Arena · Springfield, MO

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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