Aggies vs Lopes

Gameday · SAT MAR 6

UC DavisVSGrand Canyon

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Global Credit Union Arena · Phoenix, AZ

Win probability

1912 blend

17% UCDGCU 83%

Adj. efficiency10%

90%

SRS19%

81%

Elo21%

79%

GCU +8.4

Proj. margin

162.9

Proj. total

76.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0B.FagbemiG · 7.0 APG13.0
• 4C.SevillaG · 1.3 APG12.7
• 20I.ChappellF · 4.3 RPG8.7
• 2J.StokesG · 0.3 APG12.0
• 21O.SuljanovicF · 5.7 RPG4.3

• 1D.DarlingPG · 4.0 RPG12.0
• 10J.HenleyG · 2.3 APG17.7
• 13B.BarkleyF · 3.3 RPG8.0
• 2M.WilliamsG · 2.0 APG15.0
• 17E.DemirelC · 0.3 BPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-0.4Adj. net rating+13.8

170thAdj. net rank59th

107.7Adj. offense112.5

108.1Adj. defense98.7

73.8Pace78.8

-0.7SRS6.1

1682Elo1916

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

73.7Points100.3

66.7Opp points77.0

47.6%eFG%57.5%

21.0%TO%14.0%

27.6%OREB%34.5%

.52FT rate.47

41%3PA rate42%

62%Assisted FG%62%

Last five games

UC Davis

W81-69vs UIW

W65-52vs Menlo

L75-79vs UNA

L70-82@ CSUF

W79-73vs UCSB

Grand Canyon

W99-71vs CP

W99-81vs BCU

W103-79vs TXSO

L80-84vs NEV

W85-60vs FRES

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

24-25UCD 75 · GCU 68Wed, 11/20

Game information

TipSaturday, Mar 6 · time TBD

VenueGlobal Credit Union Arena · Phoenix, AZ

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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