Gamecocks vs Blue Raiders

Gameday · SAT MAR 6

Jacksonville StateVSMiddle Tennessee

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Murphy Center · Murfreesboro, TN

Win probability

1912 blend

35% JVSTMTSU 65%

Adj. efficiency28%

72%

SRS32%

68%

Elo45%

55%

MTSU +4.6

Proj. margin

154.3

Proj. total

71.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1C.Lockett Jr.G · 6.0 APG13.0
• 2J.StiemkeG · 1.7 APG18.0
• 6L.HornerG · 3.0 APG8.7
• 10E.CroleyF · 5.7 RPG7.3
• 11K.PolkF · 3.7 RPG3.3

• 2J.CarterG · 5.3 APG12.3
• 1Q.Barnett4.0 RPG15.3
• 9O.NavehF · 6.3 RPG4.0
• 0K.SilerC · 1.3 BPG7.7
• 22M.Whitlock Jr.G · 1.3 APG12.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-3.9Adj. net rating+0.7

210thAdj. net rank159th

105.1Adj. offense109.8

109.0Adj. defense109.1

70.0Pace72.5

-1.8SRS0.2

1754Elo1789

1–2Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

83.0Points78.3

78.0Opp points76.7

53.3%eFG%50.8%

16.0%TO%18.0%

32.7%OREB%35.0%

.29FT rate.26

52%3PA rate43%

64%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

Jacksonville State

L46-92@ HOU

L80-83@ USA

W123-59vs LaGrange

L63-68vs NMSU

W64-61@ UTEP

Middle Tennessee

W73-68vs EVAN

L45-89@ KU

W117-73vs Fisk

L69-80@ LT

W75-63@ MOST

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MTSU 58 · JVST 75Fri, 1/23

24-25MTSU 68 · JVST 70Fri, 3/14

24-25MTSU 63 · JVST 77Thu, 2/6

24-25JVST 64 · MTSU 81Sat, 1/11

23-24MTSU 68 · JVST 76Wed, 2/21

23-24JVST 67 · MTSU 75Wed, 1/24

Game information

TipSaturday, Mar 6 · time TBD

VenueMurphy Center · Murfreesboro, TN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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