Lumberjacks vs Mustangs

Gameday · TUE DEC 1

Stephen F. AustinVSSMU

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Moody Coliseum · Dallas, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

33% SFASMU 67%

Adj. efficiency18%

82%

SRS31%

69%

Elo50%

50%

SMU +6.6

Proj. margin

165.8

Proj. total

74.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 3C.GreenATH · 4.3 RPG5.7
• 6N.ChotikavanicG · 1.7 APG11.0
• 21M.RussellG · 1.0 APG9.3
• 12E.Makke2.3 RPG15.3
• 32E.DanielF · 6.3 RPG4.7

• 6O.SellersG · 1.7 APG14.0
• 1J.ToombsC · 2.0 BPG12.3
• J.SzumertNA · 5.3 RPG15.7
• 7J.O'Neal Jr.F · 5.0 RPG14.3
• 0R.BrumbaughG · 3.0 APG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+8.9Adj. net rating+18.6

90thAdj. net rank41st

113.1Adj. offense123.1

104.2Adj. defense104.6

71.7Pace77.3

6.6SRS9.2

1904Elo1901

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

95.0Points92.7

54.7Opp points68.3

57.5%eFG%59.7%

11.0%TO%22.0%

33.6%OREB%26.3%

.34FT rate.57

47%3PA rate40%

60%Assisted FG%78%

Last five games

Stephen F. Austin

W76-71@ ACU

W89-32vs Texas Lutheran

W120-61vs Lyon

L84-89@ TLSA

L59-76vs MCN

SMU

W98-63vs PV

W95-70vs VMI

W85-72vs SOU

L79-89vs M-OH

L58-62@ LOU

Game information

TipTuesday, Dec 1 · time TBD

VenueMoody Coliseum · Dallas, TX

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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