Golden Gophers vs Spartans

Gameday · WED DEC 2

MinnesotaVSMichigan StateAP #5

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

––Min

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Tip6:30 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Breslin Center · East Lansing, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

8% MINNMSU 92%

Adj. efficiency8%

92%

SRS8%

92%

Elo8%

92%

MSU +9.3

Proj. margin

149.0

Proj. total

69.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1I.AsumaG · 3.3 APG14.3
• 3B.DurkinF · 4.0 RPG8.7
• 0K.EvansG · 4.3 APG12.7
• 5J.Crocker-JohnsonF · 6.0 RPG14.0
• 2G.GroveF · 4.3 RPG9.3

• 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
• 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
• 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
• 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
• 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+11.2Adj. net rating+29.5

77thAdj. net rank11th

112.7Adj. offense122.7

101.4Adj. defense93.2

65.8Pace72.8

3.1SRS15.2

1722Elo2150

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

74.7Points88.7

57.7Opp points64.3

53.7%eFG%58.9%

19.0%TO%18.0%

29.3%OREB%28.7%

.26FT rate.53

48%3PA rate38%

74%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Minnesota

W63-61@ CIN

W76-62vs STMN

W85-50vs UND

L48-67vs BAY

L67-72vs RUTG

Michigan State

W79-73@ DUKE

W91-61vs TOL

W96-59vs QUIN

L63-67@ CONN

W77-69vs LOU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MSU 73 · MINN 76Wed, 2/4

24-25MINN 51 · MSU 73Tue, 1/28

24-25MSU 90 · MINN 72Wed, 12/4

23-24MINN 67 · MSU 77Thu, 3/14

23-24MSU 56 · MINN 59Tue, 2/6

23-24MINN 66 · MSU 76Thu, 1/18

21-22MINN 69 · MSU 71Wed, 1/12

21-22MSU 75 · MINN 67Wed, 12/8

20-21MSU 56 · MINN 81Mon, 12/28

19-20MSU 70 · MINN 52Sun, 1/26

Game information

TipWednesday, Dec 2 · 6:30 PM ET

VenueBreslin Center · East Lansing, MI

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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