Mustangs vs Matadors

Gameday · THU DEC 3

Cal PolyVSCal State Northridge

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip10:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Premier America Credit Union Arena · Northridge, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

36% CPCSUN 64%

Adj. efficiency30%

70%

SRS31%

69%

Elo45%

55%

CSUN +4.4

Proj. margin

174.9

Proj. total

79.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

• 4J.DavisG · 5.5 APG13.5
• 2M.BallewG · 0.5 APG20.0
• 20B.OmotF · 4.5 RPG10.5
• 8J.MartinF · 6.0 RPG3.5
• 44B.HicksG · 1.0 APG6.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-4.8Adj. net rating-1.3

220thAdj. net rank182nd

109.0Adj. offense108.6

113.9Adj. defense110.0

80.0Pace78.5

-3.6SRS-1.3

1655Elo1688

1–2Record0–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

77.7Points72.5

88.3Opp points87.0

52.4%eFG%42.1%

26.0%TO%18.0%

30.6%OREB%30.8%

.34FT rate.37

52%3PA rate35%

53%Assisted FG%48%

Last five games

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

Cal State Northridge

L78-95@ KSU

L67-79@ WICH

L78-93@ UCI

W80-70vs UCSD

L77-90vs CSUF

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26CSUN 97 · CP 96Thu, 2/5

25-26CP 90 · CSUN 95Thu, 1/8

24-25CP 85 · CSUN 89Sat, 2/15

24-25CSUN 102 · CP 91Sat, 12/7

23-24CP 65 · CSUN 78Thu, 2/8

23-24CSUN 83 · CP 73Thu, 12/28

22-23CP 53 · CSUN 64Sat, 2/11

22-23CSUN 57 · CP 67Thu, 12/29

21-22CSUN 83 · CP 78Thu, 2/10

21-22CP 55 · CSUN 68Sat, 1/8

Game information

TipThursday, Dec 3 · 10:00 PM ET

VenuePremier America Credit Union Arena · Northridge, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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