Trojans vs Ducks

Gameday · SAT DEC 5

USCAP #21VSOregon

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip4:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Matthew Knight Arena · Eugene, OR

Win probability

1912 blend

47% USCORE 53%

Adj. efficiency48%

52%

SRS48%

52%

Elo44%

56%

ORE +1.7

Proj. margin

154.3

Proj. total

71.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1R.RiceG · 7.0 APG21.7
• 0A.ArenasG · 1.3 APG23.3
• 5J.CofieF · 7.0 RPG5.7
• 3A.Ratliff6.3 RPG11.7
• 13D.Ratliff2.3 RPG7.0

• 4F.PayneG · 4.0 APG12.3
• –M.EwinF · 11.0 RPG10.7
• 8A.MeadowF · 0.7 RPG10.3
• 7T.BowenF · 5.3 RPG7.3
• 2J.JohnsonG · 2.3 APG8.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+10.8Adj. net rating+7.2

82ndAdj. net rank99th

113.8Adj. offense111.9

103.0Adj. defense104.7

73.7Pace68.7

3.3SRS0.8

1628Elo1669

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

88.3Points95.0

71.3Opp points68.7

52.5%eFG%68.4%

16.0%TO%15.0%

29.8%OREB%23.1%

.50FT rate.22

31%3PA rate37%

64%Assisted FG%69%

Last five games

USC

W77-65@ CAL

W93-86@ WICH

W95-63vs MILW

L79-83@ WASH

L68-89vs UCLA

Oregon

W100-66vs MVSU

W98-71vs EWU

W87-69vs MONT

L60-70vs MD

W85-79vs WASH

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ORE 71 · USC 70Sat, 2/21

25-26USC 82 · ORE 77Tue, 12/2

24-25USC 61 · ORE 82Sat, 3/1

24-25ORE 68 · USC 60Wed, 12/4

23-24ORE 78 · USC 69Thu, 2/1

23-24USC 74 · ORE 82Thu, 12/28

22-23USC 60 · ORE 78Thu, 2/9

21-22USC 70 · ORE 69Sat, 2/26

21-22ORE 79 · USC 69Sat, 1/15

20-21ORE 68 · USC 82Sun, 3/28

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 5 · 4:00 PM ET

VenueMatthew Knight Arena · Eugene, OR

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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