Wolverines vs Cardinals

Gameday · SAT DEC 5

MichiganAP #20VSLouisvilleAP #10

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Little Caesars Arena · Detroit, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

85% MICHLOU 15%

Adj. efficiency83%

17%

SRS80%

20%

Elo91%

9%

MICH +5.2

Proj. margin

157.9

Proj. total

71.8

Proj. pace

Neutral site. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.McKenneyG · 2.3 APG18.0
• 3E.CadeauG · 6.3 APG10.7
• 13J.EstrellaF · 9.7 RPG17.3
• 11R.Gayle Jr.G · 1.7 APG14.0
• 52M.ThiamC · 1.5 BPG5.5

• 3J.ShelstadG · 4.0 APG10.5
• 7A.FolgueirasF · 4.5 RPG10.0
• 14A.WooleyG · 3.5 APG13.5
• 5S.TrimbleG · 3.5 APG12.0
• 40F.BidungaF · 8.0 RPG13.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+41.9Adj. net rating+27.4

1stAdj. net rank17th

130.6Adj. offense124.1

88.8Adj. defense96.7

72.2Pace71.3

22.6SRS13.3

2464Elo2054

2–1Record2–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

81.7Points95.5

74.3Opp points63.5

51.8%eFG%56.9%

18.0%TO%12.0%

31.1%OREB%37.6%

.30FT rate.39

45%3PA rate53%

57%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Michigan

W84-70vs MARQ

L77-85@ CONN

W84-68vs OAK

W69-63vs CONN

W91-73@ ARIZ

Louisville

W107-57vs MORE

W84-70vs UTC

L69-77@ MSU

W83-79vs USF

L73-78@ MIA

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

19-20MICH 43 · LOU 58Tue, 12/3

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 5 · time TBD

VenueLittle Caesars Arena · Detroit, MI

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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