Mustangs vs Gauchos

Gameday · SAT DEC 5

Cal PolyVSUC Santa Barbara

Tip-off in

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Tip9:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

The Thunderdome · Santa Barbara, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

28% CPUCSB 72%

Adj. efficiency23%

77%

SRS23%

77%

Elo37%

63%

UCSB +5.7

Proj. margin

164.3

Proj. total

73.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

• 20A.MahaneyG · 2.7 APG11.7
• 3C.ShawG · 1.0 APG12.0
• 1M.LittleG · 4.3 APG8.7
• 9E.DibamiF · 6.0 RPG8.3
• 4M.McGhee IVG · 3.0 APG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-4.8Adj. net rating+2.3

220thAdj. net rank142nd

109.0Adj. offense113.3

113.9Adj. defense110.9

80.0Pace67.0

-3.6SRS1.4

1655Elo1749

1–2Record2–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

77.7Points87.5

88.3Opp points61.0

52.4%eFG%61.8%

26.0%TO%13.0%

30.6%OREB%32.0%

.34FT rate.46

52%3PA rate42%

53%Assisted FG%74%

Last five games

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

UC Santa Barbara

W76-63vs NEV

W90-67vs OAK

W85-55vs San Francisco State

L73-79@ UCD

L63-64vs UCSD

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UCSB 79 · CP 89Sat, 2/14

25-26CP 67 · UCSB 107Thu, 1/22

24-25CP 77 · UCSB 96Thu, 2/27

24-25UCSB 75 · CP 72Sat, 1/11

23-24CP 75 · UCSB 83Thu, 2/29

23-24UCSB 61 · CP 52Sat, 1/6

22-23CP 54 · UCSB 64Thu, 3/9

22-23CP 62 · UCSB 68Thu, 2/2

22-23UCSB 62 · CP 57Sat, 1/7

21-22UCSB 69 · CP 64Sat, 2/12

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 5 · 9:00 PM ET

VenueThe Thunderdome · Santa Barbara, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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