Spartans vs Terrapins

Gameday · WED DEC 9

Michigan StateAP #5VSMaryland

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip8:30 PM ET

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LineNot posted

XFINITY Center · College Park, MD

Win probability

1912 blend

92% MSUMD 8%

Adj. efficiency92%

8%

SRS90%

10%

Elo95%

5%

MSU +6.4

Proj. margin

154.8

Proj. total

71.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
• 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
• 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
• 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
• 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

• 21P.PayneF · 7.0 RPG20.5
• 2D.WagnerG · 3.0 APG10.5
• 7A.MillsG · 1.0 APG15.5
• 20M.McNair Jr.G · 1.0 APG3.0
• 23T.BuljanF · 8.5 RPG7.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+29.5Adj. net rating+3.2

11thAdj. net rank131st

122.7Adj. offense110.8

93.2Adj. defense107.6

72.8Pace69.8

15.2SRS-1.9

2150Elo1640

3–0Record1–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

88.7Points85.0

64.3Opp points76.5

58.9%eFG%48.1%

18.0%TO%19.0%

28.7%OREB%51.6%

.53FT rate.41

38%3PA rate36%

63%Assisted FG%33%

Last five games

Michigan State

W79-73@ DUKE

W91-61vs TOL

W96-59vs QUIN

L63-67@ CONN

W77-69vs LOU

Maryland

L74-86@ GTWN

W96-67vs BUCK

L64-75@ IOWA

W70-60@ ORE

L72-78vs ILL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MD 48 · MSU 91Sat, 1/24

24-25MSU 58 · MD 55Wed, 2/26

23-24MD 54 · MSU 63Sat, 2/3

23-24MSU 61 · MD 59Sun, 1/21

22-23MD 58 · MSU 63Tue, 2/7

21-22MD 72 · MSU 76Thu, 3/10

21-22MD 67 · MSU 77Sun, 3/6

21-22MSU 65 · MD 63Tue, 2/1

20-21MSU 57 · MD 68Thu, 3/11

20-21MSU 55 · MD 73Sun, 2/28

Game information

TipWednesday, Dec 9 · 8:30 PM ET

VenueXFINITY Center · College Park, MD

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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