Wildcats vs Wolverines

Gameday · SAT DEC 12

NorthwesternVSMichiganAP #20

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip4:30 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Crisler Center · Ann Arbor, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

2% NUMICH 98%

Adj. efficiency2%

98%

SRS3%

97%

Elo2%

98%

MICH +12.5

Proj. margin

149.2

Proj. total

67.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 44A.CiaravinoG · 1.7 APG11.7
• 4L.PrattG · 2.3 APG18.3
• 3J.WestG · 8.7 APG21.3
• 8O.FederikoF · 3.3 RPG3.3
• 7C.SmithF · 1.0 RPG3.0

• 1T.McKenneyG · 2.3 APG18.0
• 3E.CadeauG · 6.3 APG10.7
• 13J.EstrellaF · 9.7 RPG17.3
• 11R.Gayle Jr.G · 1.7 APG14.0
• 52M.ThiamC · 1.5 BPG5.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+13.7Adj. net rating+41.9

60thAdj. net rank1st

117.6Adj. offense130.6

103.9Adj. defense88.8

63.2Pace72.2

4.1SRS22.6

1809Elo2464

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

78.7Points81.7

60.0Opp points74.3

57.8%eFG%51.8%

13.0%TO%18.0%

28.6%OREB%31.1%

.35FT rate.30

48%3PA rate45%

64%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Northwestern

W72-55vs BU

W78-65vs STBK

W86-60vs BING

L68-81@ PUR

W74-61@ IU

Michigan

W84-70vs MARQ

L77-85@ CONN

W84-68vs OAK

W69-63vs CONN

W91-73@ ARIZ

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MICH 87 · NU 75Wed, 2/11

24-25NU 76 · MICH 80Sun, 1/19

23-24MICH 62 · NU 76Thu, 2/22

22-23MICH 68 · NU 51Thu, 2/2

22-23NU 78 · MICH 85Sun, 1/15

21-22NU 70 · MICH 72Wed, 1/26

20-21NU 66 · MICH 85Sun, 1/3

19-20MICH 79 · NU 54Wed, 2/12

18-19NU 60 · MICH 80Sun, 1/13

18-19MICH 62 · NU 60Tue, 12/4

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 12 · 4:30 PM ET

VenueCrisler Center · Ann Arbor, MI

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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