Nittany Lions vs Fighting Illini
Tip2:00 PM ET
Watch
LineNot posted
Win probability
1912 blend1% PSUILL 99%
ILL +15.8
Proj. margin
172.4
Proj. total
75.5
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
10G · 0.3 APG16.0
5G · 2.7 APG11.7
3F · 12.7 RPG15.0- 3.0 RPG5.3
22F · 2.0 RPG7.7
2G · 3.7 APG21.0
347.7 RPG10.0
116.0 RPG17.0
13C · 1.7 BPG8.7
15.5 RPG10.0
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+2.8Adj. net rating+36.6
137thAdj. net rank4th
114.7Adj. offense133.4
111.9Adj. defense96.8
72.7Pace78.3
-2.3SRS17.2
1484Elo2262
2–1Record2–1
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games90.0Points103.3
77.3Opp points66.3
52.7%eFG%64.1%
18.0%TO%18.0%
33.6%OREB%29.6%
.68FT rate.27
34%3PA rate52%
52%Assisted FG%55%
Last five games
Penn State
L76-82@ PITT
W97-93vs UTC
W97-57vs CAN
L66-76@ NU
L62-74@ RUTG
Illinois
L78-84@ TTU
W112-70vs PENN
W120-45vs FDU
L62-71@ CONN
W71-59vs IOWA
Head to head
Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-2725-26ILL 73 · PSU 65Sat, 1/3
24-25PSU 52 · ILL 91Wed, 1/8
23-24ILL 89 · PSU 90Wed, 2/21
22-23PSU 79 · ILL 76Thu, 3/9
22-23ILL 81 · PSU 93Tue, 2/14
22-23PSU 74 · ILL 59Sat, 12/10
21-22PSU 55 · ILL 60Thu, 3/3
20-21PSU 65 · ILL 79Tue, 1/19
20-21ILL 98 · PSU 81Wed, 12/23
19-20ILL 62 · PSU 56Tue, 2/18
Game information
TipSaturday, Dec 12 · 2:00 PM ET
VenueState Farm Center · Champaign, IL
WatchFS1
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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