Cardinals vs Wildcats

Gameday · SAT DEC 12

LouisvilleAP #10VSKentuckyAP #24

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Battle for the Bluegrass

Tip4:00 PM ET

WatchABC

LineNot posted

Rupp Arena · Lexington, KY

Win probability

1912 blend

54% LOUUK 46%

Adj. efficiency50%

50%

SRS53%

47%

Elo59%

41%

LOU +1.5

Proj. margin

155.4

Proj. total

70.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 3J.ShelstadG · 4.0 APG10.5
• 7A.FolgueirasF · 4.5 RPG10.0
• 14A.WooleyG · 3.5 APG13.5
• 5S.TrimbleG · 3.5 APG12.0
• 40F.BidungaF · 8.0 RPG13.0

• 22M.MomcilovicF · 5.0 RPG12.0
• 5Z.DialloG · 1.3 APG17.3
• 10A.WilkinsG · 2.3 APG11.7
• 24M.MorenoC · 1.0 BPG11.7
• 19O.N'Diaye2.7 RPG3.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+27.4Adj. net rating+23.2

17thAdj. net rank29th

124.1Adj. offense121.5

96.7Adj. defense98.3

71.3Pace69.8

13.3SRS9.6

2054Elo1992

2–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

95.5Points81.0

63.5Opp points75.3

56.9%eFG%57.1%

12.0%TO%18.0%

37.6%OREB%28.7%

.39FT rate.27

53%3PA rate44%

57%Assisted FG%52%

Last five games

Louisville

W107-57vs MORE

W84-70vs UTC

L69-77@ MSU

W83-79vs USF

L73-78@ MIA

Kentucky

L69-89@ KU

W89-80vs JMU

W85-57vs MAN

L63-82@ ISU

W89-84vs SCU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26UK 88 · LOU 96Tue, 11/11

24-25LOU 85 · UK 93Sat, 12/14

23-24UK 95 · LOU 76Thu, 12/21

22-23LOU 63 · UK 86Sat, 12/31

20-21UK 59 · LOU 62Sat, 12/26

19-20LOU 70 · UK 78Sat, 12/28

18-19UK 71 · LOU 58Sat, 12/29

17-18LOU 61 · UK 90Fri, 12/29

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 12 · 4:00 PM ET

VenueRupp Arena · Lexington, KY

WatchABC

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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