Norse vs Buccaneers

Gameday · TUE DEC 15

Northern KentuckyVSEast Tennessee State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Freedom Hall (TN) · Johnson City, TN

Win probability

1912 blend

37% NKUETSU 63%

Adj. efficiency33%

67%

SRS28%

72%

Elo50%

50%

ETSU +3.9

Proj. margin

152.7

Proj. total

69.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2E.AckerG · 5.8 APG15.3
• 0W.Foster3.8 RPG18.5
• 9B.Davis-RayG · 1.0 APG12.0
• 13N.PagottoF · 6.3 RPG16.8
• 7W.ShorttF · 3.3 RPG3.8

• 0B.WardG · 4.0 APG16.7
• 11M.MarionF · 6.0 RPG7.3
• 1J.CooperG · 1.3 APG7.7
• 7T.MasonG · 1.7 APG13.7
• 8K.CampbellF · 3.0 RPG1.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-0.6Adj. net rating+2.0

172ndAdj. net rank145th

110.0Adj. offense110.2

110.6Adj. defense108.3

78.3Pace60.8

1.3SRS4.6

1789Elo1787

2–2Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

79.0Points65.3

99.8Opp points68.3

49.2%eFG%54.1%

23.0%TO%22.0%

32.4%OREB%34.0%

.45FT rate.23

35%3PA rate45%

47%Assisted FG%49%

Last five games

Northern Kentucky

L63-125@ SLU

L67-104@ TA&M

W102-94@ SDAK

W84-76@ UTEP

L90-103@ WRST

East Tennessee State

W68-53vs CAM

L63-77@ NCSU

L65-75@ ASU

L61-76vs FUR

W69-67vs WCU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26NKU 63 · ETSU 75Wed, 11/12

17-18NKU 71 · ETSU 84Wed, 12/6

17-18ETSU 63 · NKU 81Fri, 11/10

Game information

TipTuesday, Dec 15 · time TBD

VenueFreedom Hall (TN) · Johnson City, TN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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