Cardinals vs Red Raiders

Gameday · TUE DEC 15

Incarnate WordVSTexas TechAP #16

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

United Supermarkets Arena · Lubbock, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

3% UIWTTU 97%

Adj. efficiency1%

99%

SRS3%

97%

Elo7%

93%

TTU +15.6

Proj. margin

161.0

Proj. total

71.6

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0D.GoodwinF · 6.5 RPG9.0
• 24B.McCreeshG · 1.5 APG7.5
• 21G.ErherieneC · 1.5 BPG12.8
• 3M.ConnerG · 5.7 APG8.7
• 5I.HabibG · 2.0 APG9.8

• 3C.DavisG · 4.3 APG16.7
• 12D.AtwellG · 1.3 APG8.7
• 5D.WilliamsF · 5.0 RPG3.7
• 4D.Gibbs-LawhornG · 3.0 APG15.0
• 33B.Bagayoko4.0 RPG4.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-9.0Adj. net rating+26.3

264thAdj. net rank20th

108.7Adj. offense124.7

117.8Adj. defense98.5

71.9Pace71.3

-4.8SRS13.1

1573Elo2020

0–4Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

60.8Points78.7

79.3Opp points59.3

42.8%eFG%49.4%

24.0%TO%16.0%

29.7%OREB%34.7%

.38FT rate.50

43%3PA rate49%

56%Assisted FG%48%

Last five games

Incarnate Word

L69-81@ UCD

L60-79@ UTEP

L54-66vs CHST

L60-91@ OKST

L68-76vs SFA

Texas Tech

W84-78vs ILL

W76-58vs BCU

W76-42vs JKST

L65-90@ ALA

W91-71vs AKR

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

21-22TTU 84 · UIW 62Sat, 11/20

20-21UIW 51 · TTU 79Tue, 12/29

18-19UIW 37 · TTU 87Tue, 11/6

Game information

TipTuesday, Dec 15 · time TBD

VenueUnited Supermarkets Arena · Lubbock, TX

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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