Redbirds vs Racers

Gameday · THU DEC 17

Illinois StateVSMurray State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

CFSB Center · Murray, KY

Win probability

1912 blend

56% ILSTMUR 44%

Adj. efficiency50%

50%

SRS47%

53%

Elo72%

28%

ILST +1.5

Proj. margin

154.8

Proj. total

70.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 11J.KinzigerG · 3.7 APG19.3
• 3M.KlaboG · 3.3 APG7.7
• 5D.BurchG · 1.0 APG8.0
• 0N.Cleveland4.7 RPG6.7
• 9M.Messina-MooreG · 3.0 APG15.0

• 77R.DomonG · 3.3 APG22.7
• 11B.RogersF · 8.3 RPG6.7
• 34B.ShorterG · 0.0 APG20.3
• 8T.Soulhac2.3 RPG7.3
• 14L.CrateG · 0.7 APG3.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+9.3Adj. net rating+5.1

89thAdj. net rank115th

111.3Adj. offense115.9

102.0Adj. defense110.8

63.4Pace77.3

4.4SRS2.1

1840Elo1680

1–2Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

81.3Points93.7

73.7Opp points64.0

63.1%eFG%58.2%

19.0%TO%18.0%

29.4%OREB%34.4%

.39FT rate.46

51%3PA rate48%

68%Assisted FG%61%

Last five games

Illinois State

L59-76@ PUR

W100-55vs Central State (OH)

L85-90@ SMC

L66-88@ AUB

W61-55@ DAY

Murray State

W94-57vs ALCN

W93-71vs NWST

W94-64@ TNST

L75-89@ NEV

L79-92vs UIC

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MUR 61 · ILST 78Wed, 2/18

25-26ILST 70 · MUR 65Wed, 1/28

24-25ILST 74 · MUR 68Thu, 1/2

23-24ILST 61 · MUR 59Tue, 1/30

23-24MUR 72 · ILST 76Sun, 12/3

22-23MUR 76 · ILST 75Wed, 2/15

22-23ILST 67 · MUR 70Thu, 12/1

21-22MUR 77 · ILST 65Tue, 11/16

20-21ILST 65 · MUR 76Sat, 12/5

17-18MUR 78 · ILST 72Sat, 12/9

Game information

TipThursday, Dec 17 · time TBD

VenueCFSB Center · Murray, KY

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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