Hornets vs Bulldogs

Gameday · SAT DEC 19

Sacramento StateVSFresno State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Save Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

25% SACFRES 75%

Adj. efficiency13%

87%

SRS23%

77%

Elo39%

61%

FRES +7.8

Proj. margin

167.7

Proj. total

77.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0L.Hughes IIG · 2.0 APG18.0
• 1M.WilliamsG · 4.5 APG15.5
• 12O.GradyF · 8.0 RPG10.0
• 10M.WilsonG · 2.5 APG10.5
• 22S.CianiF · 1.0 RPG3.5

• 10R.Urpina4.0 RPG9.7
• 30R.CandelinoG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 77D.LunguG · 2.7 APG19.3
• 1B.AmunekeG · 2.0 APG16.7
• 42B.HenigeF · 7.3 RPG15.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-9.2Adj. net rating+3.2

268thAdj. net rank131st

104.9Adj. offense108.6

114.1Adj. defense105.4

84.0Pace70.9

-6.8SRS-1.6

1562Elo1639

1–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

83.5Points82.7

78.5Opp points84.0

50.9%eFG%52.8%

20.0%TO%15.0%

16.7%OREB%32.2%

.67FT rate.36

46%3PA rate37%

63%Assisted FG%51%

Last five games

Sacramento State

L77-83@ SCU

W90-74vs Jessup University

L45-68@ IDHO

W83-65vs IDST

L61-82@ MTST

Fresno State

W95-92vs GAST

L65-81@ UCSD

W88-79vs Fresno Pacific

L63-67@ CSU

L60-85@ GCU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

24-25SAC 57 · FRES 64Fri, 11/8

22-23SAC 59 · FRES 53Sat, 12/17

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 19 · time TBD

VenueSave Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.