Bulldogs vs Spartans

Gameday · SAT DEC 19

GonzagaAP #14VSMichigan StateAP #5

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip2:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Acrisure Arena · Palm Springs, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

50% GONZMSU 50%

Adj. efficiency55%

45%

SRS52%

48%

Elo44%

56%

GONZ +0.7

Proj. margin

152.7

Proj. total

71.2

Proj. pace

Neutral site. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 4D.FogleG · 4.0 APG22.0
• 34B.HuffF · 3.5 RPG15.0
• 5X.LeeG · 6.5 APG12.0
• 1I.HarwellG · 1.5 APG12.0
• 35M.DiopC · 0.5 BPG9.5

• 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
• 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
• 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
• 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
• 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+31.5Adj. net rating+29.5

9thAdj. net rank11th

122.4Adj. offense122.7

90.9Adj. defense93.2

69.5Pace72.8

15.8SRS15.2

2106Elo2150

2–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

93.5Points88.7

70.0Opp points64.3

61.3%eFG%58.9%

12.0%TO%18.0%

32.8%OREB%28.7%

.55FT rate.53

35%3PA rate38%

62%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Gonzaga

W109-68vs NMSU

W78-72@ PUR

L68-74vs TEX

W73-64vs KENN

W79-68vs SCU

Michigan State

W79-73@ DUKE

W91-61vs TOL

W96-59vs QUIN

L63-67@ CONN

W77-69vs LOU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

22-23MSU 63 · GONZ 64Fri, 11/11

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 19 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueAcrisure Arena · Palm Springs, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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