1912 Society

Golden Bears vs Tar Heels

Gameday · WED DEC 30
CaliforniaVSNorth Carolina
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip4:00 PM ET
WatchACC Network
LineNot posted
Dean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC

Win probability

1912 blend
22% CALUNC 78%
Adj. efficiency15%
85%
SRS21%
79%
Elo28%
72%
UNC +7.1
Proj. margin
157.8
Proj. total
72.3
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG
  • 25N.IndrusaitisG · 2.0 APG17.3
  • 2J.RossG · 6.0 APG10.5
  • 21J.WilkinsF · 4.8 RPG8.8
  • 17M.KocanasC · 0.0 BPG4.5
  • 23S.YeanayF · 4.3 RPG11.8
  • 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
  • 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
  • 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
  • 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
  • 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26
+11.9Adj. net rating+23.3
73rdAdj. net rank27th
114.2Adj. offense121.7
102.3Adj. defense98.5
73.3Pace71.2
5.5SRS11.4
1798Elo1958
2–2Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games
83.0Points88.3
79.8Opp points68.3
55.4%eFG%55.9%
15.0%TO%12.0%
28.2%OREB%26.3%
.34FT rate.44
43%3PA rate40%
65%Assisted FG%48%

Last five games

California
L65-77vs USC
L68-86vs HOU
W84-70vs RAD
W115-86vs Adams State
L75-76vs JOES
North Carolina
W76-63vs WYO
W109-70vs WOF
W80-72vs WCU
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27
25-26UNC 78 · CAL 84Sat, 1/17
24-25CAL 53 · UNC 79Wed, 1/15

Game information

TipWednesday, Dec 30 · 4:00 PM ET
VenueDean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC
WatchACC Network

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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