Mustangs vs Highlanders

Gameday · THU DEC 31

Cal PolyVSUC Riverside

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip5:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

SRC Arena · Riverside, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

54% CPUCR 46%

Adj. efficiency54%

46%

SRS46%

54%

Elo61%

39%

CP +1.0

Proj. margin

167.7

Proj. total

76.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

• 8T.Parrish-Tillman9.5 RPG22.5
• 1T.DuckettG · 3.0 APG13.0
• 0D.Perteete Jr.G · 1.5 APG2.5
• 5J.Evans Jr.G · 0.5 APG9.0
• 24E.ReaganATH · 3.5 RPG6.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-4.8Adj. net rating-10.1

220thAdj. net rank273rd

109.0Adj. offense102.4

113.9Adj. defense112.4

80.0Pace73.3

-3.6SRS-5.6

1655Elo1578

1–2Record2–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

77.7Points87.0

88.3Opp points53.5

52.4%eFG%54.0%

26.0%TO%10.0%

30.6%OREB%28.4%

.34FT rate.35

52%3PA rate39%

53%Assisted FG%59%

Last five games

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

UC Riverside

W64-60vs DEN

W110-47vs La Verne

L74-93@ HAW

W95-84vs CSUN

L59-70@ UCSB

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26CP 94 · UCR 87Sat, 1/31

25-26UCR 88 · CP 84Sat, 12/6

24-25CP 96 · UCR 83Thu, 3/13

24-25UCR 100 · CP 112Sat, 2/22

24-25CP 62 · UCR 80Sat, 2/1

23-24UCR 84 · CP 78Sat, 2/24

23-24CP 56 · UCR 71Thu, 1/11

22-23UCR 73 · CP 72Sat, 3/4

22-23CP 78 · UCR 83Mon, 1/16

21-22CP 58 · UCR 78Sat, 2/19

Game information

TipThursday, Dec 31 · 5:00 PM ET

VenueSRC Arena · Riverside, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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