Horned Frogs vs Cougars

Gameday · SAT JAN 2

TCUVSHoustonAP #8

Tip-off in

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Tip8:00 PM ET

WatchESPN2

LineNot posted

Fertitta Center · Houston, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

11% TCUHOU 89%

Adj. efficiency8%

92%

SRS13%

87%

Elo11%

89%

HOU +9.2

Proj. margin

152.0

Proj. total

71.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5M.RobinsonF · 3.3 RPG21.3
• 2B.HardingG · 8.3 APG13.7
• 55T.ToolsonG · 2.7 APG11.3
• 24X.EdmondsF · 8.3 RPG13.0
• 15D.ThomasF · 3.7 RPG13.3

• 9D.Thomas Jr.G · 6.7 APG17.7
• 25M.MillerG · 3.7 APG9.3
• 23D.GillespieF · 6.3 RPG11.0
• 11J.TuglerF · 5.7 RPG9.7
• 24C.McCartyF · 5.0 RPG9.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+16.9Adj. net rating+34.4

49thAdj. net rank6th

116.2Adj. offense123.6

99.3Adj. defense89.2

72.0Pace70.0

7.8SRS17.3

1920Elo2281

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

101.3Points90.7

68.3Opp points56.3

52.4%eFG%58.4%

15.0%TO%15.0%

42.9%OREB%28.9%

.58FT rate.45

39%3PA rate29%

71%Assisted FG%59%

Last five games

TCU

W100-92vs ULM

W106-54vs SOU

W98-59vs LIN

L58-81@ DUKE

W66-64@ OSU

Houston

W92-46vs JVST

W86-68@ CAL

W94-55vs LAS

L55-65vs ILL

W88-57vs TA&M

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26HOU 79 · TCU 70Wed, 1/28

24-25TCU 46 · HOU 65Mon, 1/6

23-24TCU 45 · HOU 60Thu, 3/14

23-24HOU 67 · TCU 68Sat, 1/13

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 2 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueFertitta Center · Houston, TX

WatchESPN2

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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