Wildcats vs Bears

Gameday · SAT JAN 2

Kansas StateVSBaylor

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

––Min

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Tip12:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Foster Pavilion · Waco, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

18% KSUBAY 82%

Adj. efficiency17%

83%

SRS21%

79%

Elo18%

82%

BAY +6.8

Proj. margin

168.0

Proj. total

74.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1B.RechsteinerG · 4.0 APG22.7
• 7I.AbrahamF · 5.3 RPG12.0
• 2J.SchuttG · 3.0 APG9.7
• 6B.ViceC · 0.3 BPG6.0
• 4D.LindsayF · 3.3 RPG5.0

• 2B.Decker Jr.G · 1.3 APG14.3
• 4K.MingoG · 2.3 APG15.0
• 5D.Mingo5.7 RPG15.0
• 0E.Williams3.0 RPG9.7
• 21J.BodoF · 3.3 RPG0.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+7.2Adj. net rating+17.5

99thAdj. net rank46th

114.1Adj. offense123.3

106.8Adj. defense105.9

74.3Pace75.0

0.4SRS6.4

1631Elo1897

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

83.3Points95.3

76.0Opp points59.7

60.7%eFG%55.3%

23.0%TO%15.0%

20.6%OREB%39.2%

.35FT rate.49

59%3PA rate41%

66%Assisted FG%56%

Last five games

Kansas State

W89-82vs CREI

W95-78vs CSUN

L66-68vs SDST

L91-105@ BYU

L85-104@ KU

Baylor

W90-61vs YALE

W109-53vs UAPB

W87-65vs NWST

L69-82vs OU

W67-48@ MINN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BAY 74 · KSU 90Tue, 2/17

24-25KSU 56 · BAY 70Wed, 3/12

24-25KSU 62 · BAY 70Wed, 1/22

23-24BAY 64 · KSU 68Tue, 1/16

22-23BAY 65 · KSU 75Tue, 2/21

22-23KSU 97 · BAY 95Sat, 1/7

21-22BAY 75 · KSU 60Wed, 2/9

21-22KSU 49 · BAY 74Tue, 1/25

20-21KSU 68 · BAY 74Thu, 3/11

20-21KSU 59 · BAY 107Wed, 1/27

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 2 · 12:00 PM ET

VenueFoster Pavilion · Waco, TX

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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