Mustangs vs Cavaliers
Tip6:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Win probability
1912 blend23% SMUUVA 77%
UVA +6.1
Proj. margin
167.6
Proj. total
74.9
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
6G · 1.7 APG14.0
1C · 2.0 BPG12.3
NA · 5.3 RPG15.7
7F · 5.0 RPG14.3
0G · 3.0 APG7.7
5G · 2.3 APG15.0
17C · 2.8 BPG13.0
1G · 5.0 APG14.8
28F · 8.3 RPG17.8
223.0 RPG8.8
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+18.6Adj. net rating+26.8
41stAdj. net rank18th
123.1Adj. offense123.3
104.6Adj. defense96.5
77.3Pace72.5
9.2SRS13.8
1901Elo2107
3–0Record4–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games92.7Points93.0
68.3Opp points66.3
59.7%eFG%58.1%
22.0%TO%17.0%
26.3%OREB%38.6%
.57FT rate.28
40%3PA rate47%
78%Assisted FG%67%
Last five games
SMU
W98-63vs PV
W95-70vs VMI
W85-72vs SOU
L79-89vs M-OH
L58-62@ LOU
Virginia
W95-61vs BUCK
W91-72vs ARK
W97-72vs NE
W89-60vs DREX
L72-79vs TENN
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2725-26UVA 72 · SMU 68Sat, 1/17
24-25SMU 54 · UVA 52Wed, 1/15
24-25UVA 51 · SMU 63Sat, 12/7
Game information
TipSaturday, Jan 2 · 6:00 PM ET
VenueJohn Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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