Toreros vs Gaels

Gameday · SAT JAN 2

San DiegoVSSaint Mary's

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

University Credit Union Pavilion · Moraga, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

3% USDSMC 97%

Adj. efficiency2%

98%

SRS2%

98%

Elo4%

96%

SMC +13.3

Proj. margin

150.8

Proj. total

68.9

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 4D.StromerG · 2.0 APG15.0
• 8J.HillF · 1.7 RPG13.0
• 2D.HillG · 3.0 APG15.0
• 10M.Worthy Jr.G · 2.7 APG10.7
• 25S.KonnehF · 4.7 RPG7.3

• 0M.JuzenasG · 4.7 APG17.7
• 7J.DentG · 4.3 APG18.0
• 35V.ZougrisF · 5.3 RPG11.0
• 8R.HawkeG · 1.0 APG5.3
• 32J.GardnerC · 1.0 BPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-5.5Adj. net rating+24.3

226thAdj. net rank23rd

107.8Adj. offense120.4

113.3Adj. defense96.1

69.0Pace68.8

-6.3SRS12.4

1482Elo2049

2–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

83.3Points96.7

78.3Opp points81.7

49.5%eFG%61.6%

17.0%TO%13.0%

36.1%OREB%28.4%

.41FT rate.27

34%3PA rate41%

59%Assisted FG%62%

Last five games

San Diego

L75-83@ COLO

W96-90vs TAR

W79-62vs Biola

L56-58@ SEA

W66-62@ LMU

Saint Mary's

L95-96@ NEV

W105-64vs NDSU

W90-85vs ILST

L50-63vs TA&M

L71-76vs SCU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26USD 60 · SMC 87Wed, 2/4

24-25SMC 103 · USD 56Sat, 1/11

23-24USD 62 · SMC 88Sat, 2/24

23-24SMC 81 · USD 70Thu, 1/4

22-23SMC 62 · USD 59Thu, 2/16

22-23USD 58 · SMC 85Thu, 12/29

21-22SMC 60 · USD 46Thu, 2/24

21-22USD 57 · SMC 86Thu, 2/10

19-20USD 63 · SMC 92Sat, 2/22

19-20SMC 66 · USD 60Thu, 2/6

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 2 · time TBD

VenueUniversity Credit Union Pavilion · Moraga, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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