Golden Gophers vs Wildcats

Gameday · SUN JAN 3

MinnesotaVSNorthwestern

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip7:30 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Welsh-Ryan Arena · Evanston, IL

Win probability

1912 blend

36% MINNNU 64%

Adj. efficiency34%

66%

SRS36%

64%

Elo38%

62%

NU +3.8

Proj. margin

140.5

Proj. total

64.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1I.AsumaG · 3.3 APG14.3
• 3B.DurkinF · 4.0 RPG8.7
• 0K.EvansG · 4.3 APG12.7
• 5J.Crocker-JohnsonF · 6.0 RPG14.0
• 2G.GroveF · 4.3 RPG9.3

• 44A.CiaravinoG · 1.7 APG11.7
• 4L.PrattG · 2.3 APG18.3
• 3J.WestG · 8.7 APG21.3
• 8O.FederikoF · 3.3 RPG3.3
• 7C.SmithF · 1.0 RPG3.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+11.2Adj. net rating+13.7

77thAdj. net rank60th

112.7Adj. offense117.6

101.4Adj. defense103.9

65.8Pace63.2

3.1SRS4.1

1722Elo1809

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

74.7Points78.7

57.7Opp points60.0

53.7%eFG%57.8%

19.0%TO%13.0%

29.3%OREB%28.6%

.26FT rate.35

48%3PA rate48%

74%Assisted FG%64%

Last five games

Minnesota

W63-61@ CIN

W76-62vs STMN

W85-50vs UND

L48-67vs BAY

L67-72vs RUTG

Northwestern

W72-55vs BU

W78-65vs STBK

W86-60vs BING

L68-81@ PUR

W74-61@ IU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26NU 66 · MINN 67Sat, 3/7

25-26MINN 84 · NU 78Sat, 1/3

24-25NU 72 · MINN 64Wed, 3/12

24-25NU 75 · MINN 63Tue, 2/25

23-24MINN 66 · NU 90Sat, 3/9

23-24NU 66 · MINN 75Sat, 2/3

22-23MINN 61 · NU 81Sat, 1/28

21-22MINN 62 · NU 75Sun, 3/6

21-22NU 60 · MINN 77Sat, 2/19

20-21MINN 51 · NU 46Wed, 3/10

Game information

TipSunday, Jan 3 · 7:30 PM ET

VenueWelsh-Ryan Arena · Evanston, IL

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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