Nittany Lions vs Golden Gophers

Gameday · WED JAN 6

Penn StateVSMinnesota

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip8:30 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Williams Arena · Minneapolis, MN

Win probability

1912 blend

21% PSUMINN 79%

Adj. efficiency21%

79%

SRS22%

78%

Elo20%

80%

MINN +5.9

Proj. margin

152.6

Proj. total

69.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10J.ReedG · 0.3 APG16.0
• 5D.BowenG · 2.7 APG11.7
• 3I.JuricF · 12.7 RPG15.0
• 14T.Allard3.0 RPG5.3
• 22B.ByersF · 2.0 RPG7.7

• 1I.AsumaG · 3.3 APG14.3
• 3B.DurkinF · 4.0 RPG8.7
• 0K.EvansG · 4.3 APG12.7
• 5J.Crocker-JohnsonF · 6.0 RPG14.0
• 2G.GroveF · 4.3 RPG9.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+2.8Adj. net rating+11.2

137thAdj. net rank77th

114.7Adj. offense112.7

111.9Adj. defense101.4

72.7Pace65.8

-2.3SRS3.1

1484Elo1722

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

90.0Points74.7

77.3Opp points57.7

52.7%eFG%53.7%

18.0%TO%19.0%

33.6%OREB%29.3%

.68FT rate.26

34%3PA rate48%

52%Assisted FG%74%

Last five games

Penn State

L76-82@ PITT

W97-93vs UTC

W97-57vs CAN

L66-76@ NU

L62-74@ RUTG

Minnesota

W63-61@ CIN

W76-62vs STMN

W85-50vs UND

L48-67vs BAY

L67-72vs RUTG

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MINN 75 · PSU 77Sun, 2/1

24-25PSU 69 · MINN 60Sat, 2/22

24-25MINN 69 · PSU 61Tue, 2/4

23-24PSU 70 · MINN 75Sat, 3/2

23-24MINN 83 · PSU 74Sat, 1/27

22-23PSU 76 · MINN 69Sat, 2/18

21-22MINN 51 · PSU 60Wed, 3/9

21-22MINN 46 · PSU 67Thu, 2/17

21-22PSU 70 · MINN 76Sat, 2/12

20-21MINN 65 · PSU 84Wed, 3/3

Game information

TipWednesday, Jan 6 · 8:30 PM ET

VenueWilliams Arena · Minneapolis, MN

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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