Cavaliers vs Cardinal

Gameday · WED JAN 6

VirginiaAP #6VSStanford

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip9:00 PM ET

WatchACC Network

LineNot posted

Maples Pavilion · Stanford, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

74% UVASTAN 26%

Adj. efficiency72%

28%

SRS66%

34%

Elo82%

18%

UVA +1.8

Proj. margin

155.4

Proj. total

70.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5S.LewisG · 2.3 APG15.0
• 17J.GrunlohC · 2.8 BPG13.0
• 1C.MalloryG · 5.0 APG14.8
• 28T.RidderF · 8.3 RPG17.8
• 22N.Adekunle3.0 RPG8.8

• 41N.TownsendF · 7.3 RPG22.7
• 5J.Price2.7 RPG11.7
• 4A.Olajuwon3.7 RPG8.3
• 52A.CammannF · 2.7 RPG9.7
• 21I.Rogers1.3 RPG6.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+26.8Adj. net rating+13.3

18thAdj. net rank61st

123.3Adj. offense117.2

96.5Adj. defense103.9

72.5Pace68.5

13.8SRS6.2

2107Elo1840

4–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

93.0Points82.0

66.3Opp points67.0

58.1%eFG%56.9%

17.0%TO%17.0%

38.6%OREB%26.3%

.28FT rate.30

47%3PA rate38%

67%Assisted FG%48%

Last five games

Virginia

W95-61vs BUCK

W91-72vs ARK

W97-72vs NE

W89-60vs DREX

L72-79vs TENN

Stanford

W91-73vs RICE

W81-63vs OAK

W74-65vs EWU

L77-82@ WVU

L63-64vs PITT

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26STAN 55 · UVA 70Sat, 1/10

24-25UVA 65 · STAN 88Sat, 1/11

Game information

TipWednesday, Jan 6 · 9:00 PM ET

VenueMaples Pavilion · Stanford, CA

WatchACC Network

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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