Knights vs Sun Devils

Gameday · SAT JAN 9

UCFVSArizona State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Desert Financial Arena · Tempe, AZ

Win probability

1912 blend

53% UCFASU 47%

Adj. efficiency45%

55%

SRS50%

50%

Elo63%

37%

UCF +2.1

Proj. margin

144.4

Proj. total

65.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1D.JohnsonG · 4.3 APG31.0
• 7J.BolF · 4.3 RPG4.0
• 32I.MaloneF · 5.0 RPG4.7
• 8R.KugelG · 1.3 APG5.0
• 2A.DeanG · 3.3 APG10.3

• 23P.MurauskasF · 8.3 RPG25.3
• 3J.FoxwellG · 6.3 APG12.7
• 11D.ShawG · 2.3 APG8.7
• 14B.DeftyF · 3.3 RPG4.7
• 6J.Croy2.3 RPG11.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+14.1Adj. net rating+11.4

58thAdj. net rank75th

120.0Adj. offense114.8

105.9Adj. defense103.4

65.6Pace64.5

5.8SRS2.9

1799Elo1709

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

86.3Points83.3

79.7Opp points63.7

56.6%eFG%56.8%

10.0%TO%14.0%

31.6%OREB%34.1%

.42FT rate.38

44%3PA rate42%

52%Assisted FG%53%

Last five games

UCF

W76-69vs USA

W87-75vs YALE

W96-95vs FGCU

L71-75@ UCLA

L59-81@ ARIZ

Arizona State

W85-63vs HOF

W90-63vs UNCO

W75-65vs ETSU

L42-91@ ISU

W83-79vs BAY

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26ASU 76 · UCF 79Tue, 1/27

24-25UCF 95 · ASU 89Tue, 1/14

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 9 · time TBD

VenueDesert Financial Arena · Tempe, AZ

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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