Cardinals vs Mustangs

Gameday · SAT JAN 9

LouisvilleAP #10VSSMU

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip2:15 PM ET

WatchCW

LineNot posted

Moody Coliseum · Dallas, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

62% LOUSMU 38%

Adj. efficiency63%

37%

SRS54%

46%

Elo71%

29%

LOU +0.3

Proj. margin

166.6

Proj. total

74.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 3J.ShelstadG · 4.0 APG10.5
• 7A.FolgueirasF · 4.5 RPG10.0
• 14A.WooleyG · 3.5 APG13.5
• 5S.TrimbleG · 3.5 APG12.0
• 40F.BidungaF · 8.0 RPG13.0

• 6O.SellersG · 1.7 APG14.0
• 1J.ToombsC · 2.0 BPG12.3
• J.SzumertNA · 5.3 RPG15.7
• 7J.O'Neal Jr.F · 5.0 RPG14.3
• 0R.BrumbaughG · 3.0 APG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+27.4Adj. net rating+18.6

17thAdj. net rank41st

124.1Adj. offense123.1

96.7Adj. defense104.6

71.3Pace77.3

13.3SRS9.2

2054Elo1901

2–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

95.5Points92.7

63.5Opp points68.3

56.9%eFG%59.7%

12.0%TO%22.0%

37.6%OREB%26.3%

.39FT rate.57

53%3PA rate40%

57%Assisted FG%78%

Last five games

Louisville

W107-57vs MORE

W84-70vs UTC

L69-77@ MSU

W83-79vs USF

L73-78@ MIA

SMU

W98-63vs PV

W95-70vs VMI

W85-72vs SOU

L79-89vs M-OH

L58-62@ LOU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26SMU 58 · LOU 62Wed, 3/11

25-26LOU 85 · SMU 95Tue, 2/17

25-26SMU 74 · LOU 88Sat, 1/31

24-25LOU 98 · SMU 73Tue, 1/21

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 9 · 2:15 PM ET

VenueMoody Coliseum · Dallas, TX

WatchCW

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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