Wildcats vs Nittany Lions

Gameday · SUN JAN 10

NorthwesternVSPenn State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip12:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Bryce Jordan Center · University Park, PA

Win probability

1912 blend

71% NUPSU 29%

Adj. efficiency66%

34%

SRS62%

38%

Elo87%

13%

NU +0.7

Proj. margin

152.2

Proj. total

68.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 44A.CiaravinoG · 1.7 APG11.7
• 4L.PrattG · 2.3 APG18.3
• 3J.WestG · 8.7 APG21.3
• 8O.FederikoF · 3.3 RPG3.3
• 7C.SmithF · 1.0 RPG3.0

• 10J.ReedG · 0.3 APG16.0
• 5D.BowenG · 2.7 APG11.7
• 3I.JuricF · 12.7 RPG15.0
• 14T.Allard3.0 RPG5.3
• 22B.ByersF · 2.0 RPG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+13.7Adj. net rating+2.8

60thAdj. net rank137th

117.6Adj. offense114.7

103.9Adj. defense111.9

63.2Pace72.7

4.1SRS-2.3

1809Elo1484

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

78.7Points90.0

60.0Opp points77.3

57.8%eFG%52.7%

13.0%TO%18.0%

28.6%OREB%33.6%

.35FT rate.68

48%3PA rate34%

64%Assisted FG%52%

Last five games

Northwestern

W72-55vs BU

W78-65vs STBK

W86-60vs BING

L68-81@ PUR

W74-61@ IU

Penn State

L76-82@ PITT

W97-93vs UTC

W97-57vs CAN

L66-76@ NU

L62-74@ RUTG

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26PSU 66 · NU 76Tue, 3/10

25-26PSU 73 · NU 94Thu, 1/29

24-25NU 80 · PSU 84Thu, 1/2

23-24PSU 63 · NU 68Sun, 2/11

23-24NU 76 · PSU 72Wed, 1/10

22-23PSU 67 · NU 65Fri, 3/10

22-23PSU 68 · NU 65Wed, 3/1

21-22NU 60 · PSU 67Fri, 2/25

21-22PSU 74 · NU 70Wed, 1/5

20-21NU 78 · PSU 81Sat, 1/23

Game information

TipSunday, Jan 10 · 12:00 PM ET

VenueBryce Jordan Center · University Park, PA

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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