Warriors vs Stags

Gameday · SUN JAN 10

MerrimackVSFairfield

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip2:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Leo D. Mahoney Arena · Fairfield, CT

Win probability

1912 blend

57% MRMKFAIR 43%

Adj. efficiency53%

47%

SRS51%

49%

Elo68%

32%

MRMK +1.1

Proj. margin

142.9

Proj. total

66.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 33A.Lesburt Jr.G · 1.0 APG14.0
• 2D.AnglinG · 0.7 APG10.3
• 3A.Johnson1.3 RPG7.7
• 20T.BrognaF · 5.0 RPG5.0
• 5E.WilbornF · 3.0 RPG4.3

• 44D.WucherpfennigG · 1.0 APG15.7
• 4H.RawlinsG · 0.7 APG6.3
• 8T.WilliamsG · 0.3 APG7.7
• 33P.SmithF · 5.3 RPG6.7
• 1E.MejiaG · 0.0 APG0.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-1.8Adj. net rating-7.5

188thAdj. net rank248th

106.2Adj. offense105.9

108.0Adj. defense113.4

61.7Pace70.2

1.7SRS-1.5

1741Elo1609

1–2Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

61.0Points59.0

64.7Opp points75.7

47.5%eFG%34.7%

18.0%TO%14.0%

39.3%OREB%39.8%

.33FT rate.34

42%3PA rate29%

39%Assisted FG%31%

Last five games

Merrimack

W73-60@ ALB

L61-71vs UML

L49-63vs APP

L54-64vs SIE

W58-57vs MRST

Fairfield

L42-89@ WIS

W68-59@ BRY

L67-79vs UVM

L61-76@ SIE

W74-55@ SPU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26FAIR 63 · MRMK 74Sun, 12/7

24-25MRMK 75 · FAIR 54Sat, 1/25

24-25FAIR 54 · MRMK 67Fri, 1/3

Game information

TipSunday, Jan 10 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueLeo D. Mahoney Arena · Fairfield, CT

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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