Spartans vs Trojans
Tip10:00 PM ET
Watch
LineNot posted
Win probability
1912 blend86% MSUUSC 14%
MSU +3.8
Proj. margin
158.5
Proj. total
73.3
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
1G · 10.3 APG14.3
6F · 8.0 RPG9.3
253.7 RPG10.0
55F · 5.0 RPG10.3
34C · 0.7 BPG7.3
1G · 7.0 APG21.7
0G · 1.3 APG23.3
5F · 7.0 RPG5.7
36.3 RPG11.7
132.3 RPG7.0
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+29.5Adj. net rating+10.8
11thAdj. net rank82nd
122.7Adj. offense113.8
93.2Adj. defense103.0
72.8Pace73.7
15.2SRS3.3
2150Elo1628
3–0Record3–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games88.7Points88.3
64.3Opp points71.3
58.9%eFG%52.5%
18.0%TO%16.0%
28.7%OREB%29.8%
.53FT rate.50
38%3PA rate31%
63%Assisted FG%64%
Last five games
Michigan State
W79-73@ DUKE
W91-61vs TOL
W96-59vs QUIN
L63-67@ CONN
W77-69vs LOU
USC
W77-65@ CAL
W93-86@ WICH
W95-63vs MILW
L79-83@ WASH
L68-89vs UCLA
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2725-26USC 51 · MSU 80Mon, 1/5
24-25MSU 64 · USC 70Sat, 2/1
22-23USC 62 · MSU 72Fri, 3/17
Game information
TipTuesday, Jan 12 · 10:00 PM ET
VenueGalen Center · Los Angeles, CA
WatchPeacock
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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