Mustangs vs Wolfpack
Win probability
1912 blend42% SMUNCSU 58%
NCSU +3.8
Proj. margin
164.4
Proj. total
72.3
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
6G · 1.7 APG14.0
1C · 2.0 BPG12.3
NA · 5.3 RPG15.7
7F · 5.0 RPG14.3
0G · 3.0 APG7.7
0G · 6.3 APG12.0
2G · 1.0 APG13.0
22F · 8.3 RPG15.3
11G · 3.3 APG10.3
14F · 4.7 RPG5.0
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+18.6Adj. net rating+20.7
41stAdj. net rank34th
123.1Adj. offense124.1
104.6Adj. defense103.4
77.3Pace67.2
9.2SRS9.4
1901Elo1868
3–0Record3–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games92.7Points84.7
68.3Opp points62.3
59.7%eFG%58.3%
22.0%TO%17.0%
26.3%OREB%32.5%
.57FT rate.25
40%3PA rate45%
78%Assisted FG%61%
Last five games
SMU
W98-63vs PV
W95-70vs VMI
W85-72vs SOU
L79-89vs M-OH
L58-62@ LOU
NC State
W94-60vs PRES
W77-63vs ETSU
W83-64vs CAM
L66-68vs TEX
L74-81@ UVA
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2725-26NCSU 84 · SMU 83Tue, 2/3
24-25SMU 63 · NCSU 57Sat, 1/25
Game information
TipTuesday, Jan 12 · 9:00 PM ET
VenueLenovo Center · Raleigh, NC
WatchACC Network
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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