Tar Heels vs Seminoles

Gameday · WED JAN 13

North CarolinaVSFlorida State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Tucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

Win probability

1912 blend

63% UNCFSU 37%

Adj. efficiency66%

34%

SRS59%

41%

Elo65%

35%

UNC +0.7

Proj. margin

160.0

Proj. total

72.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
• 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
• 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
• 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
• 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

• 22S.RancikF · 4.0 RPG22.0
• 1S.AbaevG · 4.3 APG12.0
• 2A.Robinson IIG · 3.3 APG13.7
• 3K.TaylorG · 2.3 APG13.3
• 11M.Ponder8.0 RPG9.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+23.3Adj. net rating+12.9

27thAdj. net rank67th

121.7Adj. offense118.0

98.5Adj. defense105.1

71.2Pace73.2

11.4SRS5.8

1958Elo1851

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

88.3Points91.7

68.3Opp points72.7

55.9%eFG%52.6%

12.0%TO%14.0%

26.3%OREB%34.4%

.44FT rate.48

40%3PA rate38%

48%Assisted FG%45%

Last five games

North Carolina

W76-63vs WYO

W109-70vs WOF

W80-72vs WCU

L78-82vs VCU

L79-80vs CLEM

Florida State

L72-81vs FLA

W91-68vs TROY

W112-69vs FAMU

L79-80@ DUKE

W95-89vs CAL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26FSU 66 · UNC 79Tue, 12/30

24-25UNC 96 · FSU 85Mon, 2/24

23-24FSU 67 · UNC 92Thu, 3/14

23-24UNC 75 · FSU 68Sat, 1/27

23-24FSU 70 · UNC 78Sat, 12/2

22-23UNC 77 · FSU 66Mon, 2/27

21-22FSU 74 · UNC 94Sat, 2/12

20-21UNC 66 · FSU 69Fri, 3/12

20-21FSU 70 · UNC 78Sat, 2/27

20-21UNC 75 · FSU 82Sat, 1/16

Game information

TipWednesday, Jan 13 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueTucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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