Cardinals vs Demons

Gameday · SAT JAN 16

Incarnate WordVSNorthwestern State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Prather Coliseum · Natchitoches, LA

Win probability

1912 blend

47% UIWNWST 53%

Adj. efficiency44%

56%

SRS46%

54%

Elo50%

50%

NWST +2.4

Proj. margin

156.5

Proj. total

70.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0D.GoodwinF · 6.5 RPG9.0
• 24B.McCreeshG · 1.5 APG7.5
• 21G.ErherieneC · 1.5 BPG12.8
• 3M.ConnerG · 5.7 APG8.7
• 5I.HabibG · 2.0 APG9.8

• 4K.Simpson4.3 RPG17.8
• 5A.Almuttar2.3 RPG7.0
• 1I.Vick5.5 RPG8.0
• 13N.OjukwuF · 2.3 RPG8.3
• 23K.TurnerF · 4.8 RPG6.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-9.0Adj. net rating-11.0

264thAdj. net rank283rd

108.7Adj. offense102.5

117.8Adj. defense113.4

71.9Pace69.6

-4.8SRS-6.6

1573Elo1570

0–4Record1–3

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games

60.8Points64.3

79.3Opp points77.8

42.8%eFG%45.4%

24.0%TO%20.0%

29.7%OREB%23.9%

.38FT rate.48

43%3PA rate31%

56%Assisted FG%49%

Last five games

Incarnate Word

L69-81@ UCD

L60-79@ UTEP

L54-66vs CHST

L60-91@ OKST

L68-76vs SFA

Northwestern State

W77-49vs Millsaps

L71-93@ MUR

L44-82@ MSST

L65-87@ BAY

L47-61@ NICH

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UIW 49 · NWST 54Mon, 2/23

25-26NWST 74 · UIW 76Sat, 1/17

24-25UIW 57 · NWST 73Mon, 3/3

24-25NWST 72 · UIW 70Thu, 12/5

23-24NWST 81 · UIW 61Sat, 2/17

23-24UIW 71 · NWST 97Sat, 1/13

22-23UIW 64 · NWST 81Wed, 3/1

22-23NWST 71 · UIW 66Thu, 2/23

21-22NWST 88 · UIW 64Thu, 2/17

21-22UIW 70 · NWST 79Thu, 1/27

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · time TBD

VenuePrather Coliseum · Natchitoches, LA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.