Bulldogs vs Runnin' Bulldogs

Gameday · SAT JAN 16

UNC AshevilleVSGardner-Webb

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Paul Porter Arena · Boiling Springs, NC

Win probability

1912 blend

86% UNCAGWEB 14%

Adj. efficiency86%

14%

SRS87%

13%

Elo86%

14%

UNCA +4.4

Proj. margin

155.6

Proj. total

71.6

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0J.LipkinsG · 1.5 APG12.0
• 5M.MayfieldF · 5.0 RPG11.3
• 11K.PhippsG · 1.8 APG4.8
• 6T.Chatman1.3 RPG6.8
• 13D.ThomasF · 7.0 RPG10.5

• 1S.BrownG · 1.3 APG12.3
• 3M.PocknettF · 4.7 RPG11.3
• 32S.NosakhareF · 8.3 RPG0.0
• 10R.Wells2.0 RPG6.3
• 6J.HudsonG · 0.3 APG7.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-6.1Adj. net rating-26.8

233rdAdj. net rank360th

105.6Adj. offense95.3

111.7Adj. defense122.1

73.5Pace69.7

-2.2SRS-17.7

1696Elo1385

2–2Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

81.5Points61.3

81.8Opp points83.3

56.7%eFG%42.5%

19.0%TO%23.0%

28.6%OREB%30.2%

.43FT rate.49

46%3PA rate47%

54%Assisted FG%52%

Last five games

UNC Asheville

W73-70@ WGA

L75-83vs WCU

W101-74vs Erskine

L77-100@ RICH

L71-75@ HPU

Gardner-Webb

W88-66vs Erskine

L50-98@ TEX

L46-86@ CONN

L59-81@ HPU

W65-64@ UPST

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UNCA 77 · GWEB 71Thu, 2/26

25-26GWEB 50 · UNCA 69Thu, 1/29

24-25GWEB 70 · UNCA 78Thu, 2/6

24-25UNCA 61 · GWEB 53Wed, 1/22

23-24GWEB 72 · UNCA 83Sat, 3/9

23-24GWEB 78 · UNCA 77Sat, 2/24

23-24UNCA 73 · GWEB 80Wed, 1/31

22-23GWEB 63 · UNCA 75Sat, 2/18

22-23UNCA 72 · GWEB 67Sat, 1/14

21-22UNCA 59 · GWEB 60Wed, 2/23

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · time TBD

VenuePaul Porter Arena · Boiling Springs, NC

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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