Horned Frogs vs Wildcats

Gameday · SAT JAN 16

TCUVSKansas State

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

––Min

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Tip8:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Bramlage Coliseum · Manhattan, KS

Win probability

1912 blend

71% TCUKSU 29%

Adj. efficiency65%

35%

SRS66%

34%

Elo84%

16%

TCU +0.5

Proj. margin

159.6

Proj. total

73.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5M.RobinsonF · 3.3 RPG21.3
• 2B.HardingG · 8.3 APG13.7
• 55T.ToolsonG · 2.7 APG11.3
• 24X.EdmondsF · 8.3 RPG13.0
• 15D.ThomasF · 3.7 RPG13.3

• 1B.RechsteinerG · 4.0 APG22.7
• 7I.AbrahamF · 5.3 RPG12.0
• 2J.SchuttG · 3.0 APG9.7
• 6B.ViceC · 0.3 BPG6.0
• 4D.LindsayF · 3.3 RPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+16.9Adj. net rating+7.2

49thAdj. net rank99th

116.2Adj. offense114.1

99.3Adj. defense106.8

72.0Pace74.3

7.8SRS0.4

1920Elo1631

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

101.3Points83.3

68.3Opp points76.0

52.4%eFG%60.7%

15.0%TO%23.0%

42.9%OREB%20.6%

.58FT rate.35

39%3PA rate59%

71%Assisted FG%66%

Last five games

TCU

W100-92vs ULM

W106-54vs SOU

W98-59vs LIN

L58-81@ DUKE

W66-64@ OSU

Kansas State

W89-82vs CREI

W95-78vs CSUN

L66-68vs SDST

L91-105@ BYU

L85-104@ KU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26TCU 77 · KSU 68Sat, 2/28

25-26KSU 82 · TCU 84Sat, 2/7

24-25KSU 62 · TCU 63Sat, 1/4

23-24TCU 75 · KSU 72Sat, 2/17

22-23TCU 80 · KSU 67Thu, 3/9

22-23TCU 61 · KSU 82Tue, 2/7

22-23KSU 68 · TCU 82Sat, 1/14

21-22KSU 75 · TCU 63Sat, 2/5

21-22TCU 60 · KSU 57Wed, 1/12

20-21KSU 71 · TCU 50Wed, 3/10

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueBramlage Coliseum · Manhattan, KS

WatchCBSSN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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