Cowboys vs Bears

Gameday · SAT JAN 16

Oklahoma StateVSBaylor

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

––Min

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Tip2:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Foster Pavilion · Waco, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

26% OKSTBAY 74%

Adj. efficiency24%

76%

SRS30%

70%

Elo24%

76%

BAY +5.4

Proj. margin

171.3

Proj. total

75.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2A.Felesi3.7 RPG9.0
• 55J.WalkerG · 7.3 APG7.3
• 4K.NattG · 2.3 APG7.7
• 99J.BurksF · 5.0 RPG10.0
• 25J.HalaifonuaC · 1.0 BPG8.7

• 2B.Decker Jr.G · 1.3 APG14.3
• 4K.MingoG · 2.3 APG15.0
• 5D.Mingo5.7 RPG15.0
• 0E.Williams3.0 RPG9.7
• 21J.BodoF · 3.3 RPG0.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+11.0Adj. net rating+17.5

80thAdj. net rank46th

118.2Adj. offense123.3

107.2Adj. defense105.9

75.7Pace75.0

3.6SRS6.4

1698Elo1897

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

92.7Points95.3

72.0Opp points59.7

54.2%eFG%55.3%

17.0%TO%15.0%

41.0%OREB%39.2%

.38FT rate.49

43%3PA rate41%

60%Assisted FG%56%

Last five games

Oklahoma State

L69-88@ TA&M

W118-68vs QUC

W91-60vs UIW

L70-96vs WICH

W84-80vs DAV

Baylor

W90-61vs YALE

W109-53vs UAPB

W87-65vs NWST

L69-82vs OU

W67-48@ MINN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BAY 94 · OKST 79Tue, 1/13

24-25OKST 61 · BAY 71Sat, 3/1

23-24BAY 75 · OKST 70Sat, 1/6

22-23BAY 74 · OKST 68Mon, 2/27

22-23OKST 58 · BAY 74Sat, 1/14

21-22BAY 66 · OKST 64Mon, 2/21

21-22OKST 61 · BAY 54Sat, 1/15

20-21OKST 83 · BAY 74Fri, 3/12

20-21OKST 70 · BAY 81Thu, 3/4

20-21BAY 81 · OKST 66Sat, 1/23

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueFoster Pavilion · Waco, TX

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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