1912 Society

Ducks vs Spartans

Gameday · SAT JAN 16
OregonVSMichigan StateAP #5
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip4:00 PM ET
WatchFS1
LineNot posted
Breslin Center · East Lansing, MI

Win probability

1912 blend
5% OREMSU 95%
Adj. efficiency4%
96%
SRS6%
94%
Elo6%
94%
MSU +10.9
Proj. margin
153.0
Proj. total
70.8
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG
  • 4F.PayneG · 4.0 APG12.3
  • –M.EwinF · 11.0 RPG10.7
  • 8A.MeadowF · 0.7 RPG10.3
  • 7T.BowenF · 5.3 RPG7.3
  • 2J.JohnsonG · 2.3 APG8.0
  • 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
  • 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
  • 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
  • 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
  • 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26
+7.2Adj. net rating+29.5
99thAdj. net rank11th
111.9Adj. offense122.7
104.7Adj. defense93.2
68.7Pace72.8
0.8SRS15.2
1669Elo2150
3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games
95.0Points88.7
68.7Opp points64.3
68.4%eFG%58.9%
15.0%TO%18.0%
23.1%OREB%28.7%
.22FT rate.53
37%3PA rate38%
69%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Oregon
W100-66vs MVSU
W98-71vs EWU
W87-69vs MONT
L60-70vs MD
W85-79vs WASH
Michigan State
W79-73@ DUKE
W91-61vs TOL
W96-59vs QUIN
L63-67@ CONN
W77-69vs LOU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27
25-26MSU 68 · ORE 52Tue, 1/20
24-25ORE 64 · MSU 74Fri, 3/14
24-25ORE 74 · MSU 86Sat, 2/8
22-23ORE 70 · MSU 74Fri, 11/25

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · 4:00 PM ET
VenueBreslin Center · East Lansing, MI
WatchFS1

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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