Fighting Illini vs Terrapins

Gameday · SAT JAN 16

IllinoisAP #3VSMaryland

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip2:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

XFINITY Center · College Park, MD

Win probability

1912 blend

96% ILLMD 4%

Adj. efficiency98%

2%

SRS93%

7%

Elo97%

3%

ILL +9.4

Proj. margin

166.1

Proj. total

74.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2A.StojakovicG · 3.7 APG21.0
• 34E.Brown7.7 RPG10.0
• 11Q.Coleman6.0 RPG17.0
• 13T.IvisicC · 1.7 BPG8.7
• 1L.Williams5.5 RPG10.0

• 21P.PayneF · 7.0 RPG20.5
• 2D.WagnerG · 3.0 APG10.5
• 7A.MillsG · 1.0 APG15.5
• 20M.McNair Jr.G · 1.0 APG3.0
• 23T.BuljanF · 8.5 RPG7.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+36.6Adj. net rating+3.2

4thAdj. net rank131st

133.4Adj. offense110.8

96.8Adj. defense107.6

78.3Pace69.8

17.2SRS-1.9

2262Elo1640

2–1Record1–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

103.3Points85.0

66.3Opp points76.5

64.1%eFG%48.1%

18.0%TO%19.0%

29.6%OREB%51.6%

.27FT rate.41

52%3PA rate36%

55%Assisted FG%33%

Last five games

Illinois

L78-84@ TTU

W112-70vs PENN

W120-45vs FDU

L62-71@ CONN

W71-59vs IOWA

Maryland

L74-86@ GTWN

W96-67vs BUCK

L64-75@ IOWA

W70-60@ ORE

L72-78vs ILL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ILL 78 · MD 72Sun, 3/8

25-26MD 70 · ILL 89Wed, 1/21

24-25ILL 65 · MD 88Fri, 3/14

24-25MD 91 · ILL 70Thu, 1/23

23-24ILL 85 · MD 80Sat, 2/17

23-24MD 76 · ILL 67Sun, 1/14

22-23ILL 66 · MD 71Fri, 12/2

21-22ILL 65 · MD 81Fri, 1/21

21-22MD 64 · ILL 76Thu, 1/6

20-21MD 66 · ILL 63Sun, 1/10

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueXFINITY Center · College Park, MD

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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