1912 Society

Cardinal vs Tar Heels

Gameday · SAT JAN 16
StanfordVSNorth Carolina
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip2:15 PM ET
WatchCW
LineNot posted
Dean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC

Win probability

1912 blend
25% STANUNC 75%
Adj. efficiency18%
82%
SRS23%
77%
Elo34%
66%
UNC +6.5
Proj. margin
154.1
Proj. total
69.8
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG
  • 41N.TownsendF · 7.3 RPG22.7
  • 5J.Price2.7 RPG11.7
  • 4A.Olajuwon3.7 RPG8.3
  • 52A.CammannF · 2.7 RPG9.7
  • 21I.Rogers1.3 RPG6.0
  • 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
  • 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
  • 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
  • 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
  • 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26
+13.3Adj. net rating+23.3
61stAdj. net rank27th
117.2Adj. offense121.7
103.9Adj. defense98.5
68.5Pace71.2
6.2SRS11.4
1840Elo1958
3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games
82.0Points88.3
67.0Opp points68.3
56.9%eFG%55.9%
17.0%TO%12.0%
26.3%OREB%26.3%
.30FT rate.44
38%3PA rate40%
48%Assisted FG%48%

Last five games

Stanford
W91-73vs RICE
W81-63vs OAK
W74-65vs EWU
L77-82@ WVU
L63-64vs PITT
North Carolina
W76-63vs WYO
W109-70vs WOF
W80-72vs WCU
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27
25-26UNC 90 · STAN 95Wed, 1/14
24-25STAN 72 · UNC 71Sat, 1/18
20-21UNC 67 · STAN 63Tue, 12/1
18-19STAN 72 · UNC 90Mon, 11/12
17-18UNC 96 · STAN 72Mon, 11/20

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · 2:15 PM ET
VenueDean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC
WatchCW

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.