Mustangs vs Wolverines

Gameday · SAT JAN 16

Cal PolyVSUtah Valley

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

UCCU Center · Orem, UT

Win probability

1912 blend

14% CPUVU 86%

Adj. efficiency10%

90%

SRS12%

88%

Elo19%

81%

UVU +8.5

Proj. margin

176.6

Proj. total

80.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

• 0I.DavisF · 4.0 RPG13.5
• 3D.NelsonG · 2.5 APG17.0
• 9B.HousleyG · 5.0 APG11.5
• 2J.BarnesG · 6.0 APG9.0
• 23I.HawkinsF · 4.5 RPG10.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-4.8Adj. net rating+8.9

220thAdj. net rank90th

109.0Adj. offense112.8

113.9Adj. defense103.9

80.0Pace80.7

-3.6SRS6.2

1655Elo1902

1–2Record2–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

77.7Points92.5

88.3Opp points78.0

52.4%eFG%62.3%

26.0%TO%19.0%

30.6%OREB%22.9%

.34FT rate.40

52%3PA rate31%

53%Assisted FG%70%

Last five games

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

Utah Valley

W101-93@ WEB

W84-63vs Western Colorado

L78-79vs GW

L61-63vs CBU

W67-65vs UTA

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · time TBD

VenueUCCU Center · Orem, UT

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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