Stags vs Mountaineers

Gameday · SAT JAN 16

FairfieldVSMount St. Mary's

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip4:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Knott Arena · Emmitsburg, MD

Win probability

1912 blend

49% FAIRMSM 51%

Adj. efficiency48%

52%

SRS46%

54%

Elo52%

48%

MSM +1.7

Proj. margin

154.6

Proj. total

72.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 44D.WucherpfennigG · 1.0 APG15.7
• 4H.RawlinsG · 0.7 APG6.3
• 8T.WilliamsG · 0.3 APG7.7
• 33P.SmithF · 5.3 RPG6.7
• 1E.MejiaG · 0.0 APG0.7

• 2R.Thompson Jr.G · 5.0 APG11.0
• 9A.KebeF · 6.0 RPG14.0
• 7W.ExacteG · 2.0 APG13.0
• 30A.Arrington Jr.G · 1.5 APG8.0
• 12N.Limol3.5 RPG3.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-7.5Adj. net rating-11.0

248thAdj. net rank283rd

105.9Adj. offense98.6

113.4Adj. defense109.6

70.2Pace74.5

-1.5SRS-3.5

1609Elo1596

1–2Record1–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

59.0Points60.0

75.7Opp points77.0

34.7%eFG%39.1%

14.0%TO%19.0%

39.8%OREB%28.9%

.34FT rate.32

29%3PA rate43%

31%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Fairfield

L42-89@ WIS

W68-59@ BRY

L67-79vs UVM

L61-76@ SIE

W74-55@ SPU

Mount St. Mary's

W68-57vs L-MD

L52-97@ XAV

L58-63@ SIE

W69-47@ FAIR

L69-77@ SHU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MSM 69 · FAIR 47Sun, 3/1

24-25MSM 62 · FAIR 69Fri, 2/28

24-25FAIR 94 · MSM 101Sun, 12/8

23-24FAIR 96 · MSM 92Sat, 3/9

23-24MSM 80 · FAIR 94Sun, 2/18

22-23MSM 72 · FAIR 76Sun, 2/12

22-23FAIR 63 · MSM 60Thu, 1/26

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 16 · 4:00 PM ET

VenueKnott Arena · Emmitsburg, MD

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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