Roadrunners vs Mustangs

Gameday · THU JAN 21

Cal State BakersfieldVSCal Poly

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

––Min

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Tip10:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Mott Athletics Center · San Luis Obispo, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

13% CSUBCP 87%

Adj. efficiency14%

86%

SRS14%

86%

Elo10%

90%

CP +7.4

Proj. margin

168.9

Proj. total

76.6

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 25J.AlexanderG · 0.0 APG22.0
• 30T.Koppens6.0 RPG7.7
• 5K.BradleyG · 7.0 APG20.0
• 12B.CofieldG · 2.7 APG12.7
• 44P.Ivancic5.0 RPG12.0

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-16.5Adj. net rating-4.8

326thAdj. net rank220th

100.8Adj. offense109.0

117.3Adj. defense113.9

73.2Pace80.0

-12.6SRS-3.6

1282Elo1655

3–0Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

91.7Points77.7

72.3Opp points88.3

57.5%eFG%52.4%

16.0%TO%26.0%

28.9%OREB%30.6%

.57FT rate.34

28%3PA rate52%

55%Assisted FG%53%

Last five games

Cal State Bakersfield

W91-83@ WIU

W91-80vs NDSU

W93-54vs Stanton

L76-108@ CP

L84-86vs CSUN

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26CSUB 76 · CP 108Sat, 3/7

25-26CP 104 · CSUB 79Thu, 1/29

24-25CSUB 72 · CP 98Sat, 3/1

24-25CP 90 · CSUB 81Thu, 1/30

23-24CSUB 68 · CP 56Sat, 3/2

23-24CP 53 · CSUB 65Sat, 1/20

22-23CSUB 70 · CP 62Wed, 2/15

22-23CP 51 · CSUB 61Thu, 1/5

21-22CSUB 61 · CP 60Tue, 2/22

21-22CP 60 · CSUB 73Tue, 1/18

Game information

TipThursday, Jan 21 · 10:00 PM ET

VenueMott Athletics Center · San Luis Obispo, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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