Wolverines vs Trojans

Gameday · SAT JAN 23

MichiganAP #20VSUSCAP #21

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip3:00 PM ET

WatchNBC

LineNot posted

Galen Center · Los Angeles, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

96% MICHUSC 4%

Adj. efficiency96%

4%

SRS93%

7%

Elo99%

1%

MICH +8.3

Proj. margin

159.1

Proj. total

73.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.McKenneyG · 2.3 APG18.0
• 3E.CadeauG · 6.3 APG10.7
• 13J.EstrellaF · 9.7 RPG17.3
• 11R.Gayle Jr.G · 1.7 APG14.0
• 52M.ThiamC · 1.5 BPG5.5

• 1R.RiceG · 7.0 APG21.7
• 0A.ArenasG · 1.3 APG23.3
• 5J.CofieF · 7.0 RPG5.7
• 3A.Ratliff6.3 RPG11.7
• 13D.Ratliff2.3 RPG7.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+41.9Adj. net rating+10.8

1stAdj. net rank82nd

130.6Adj. offense113.8

88.8Adj. defense103.0

72.2Pace73.7

22.6SRS3.3

2464Elo1628

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

81.7Points88.3

74.3Opp points71.3

51.8%eFG%52.5%

18.0%TO%16.0%

31.1%OREB%29.8%

.30FT rate.50

45%3PA rate31%

57%Assisted FG%64%

Last five games

Michigan

W84-70vs MARQ

L77-85@ CONN

W84-68vs OAK

W69-63vs CONN

W91-73@ ARIZ

USC

W77-65@ CAL

W93-86@ WICH

W95-63vs MILW

L79-83@ WASH

L68-89vs UCLA

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26USC 66 · MICH 96Fri, 1/2

24-25MICH 85 · USC 74Sat, 1/4

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 23 · 3:00 PM ET

VenueGalen Center · Los Angeles, CA

WatchNBC

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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