Tar Heels vs Orange

Gameday · SAT JAN 23

North CarolinaVSSyracuse

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip12:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

JMA Wireless Dome · Syracuse, NY

Win probability

1912 blend

72% UNCSYR 28%

Adj. efficiency69%

31%

SRS65%

35%

Elo82%

18%

UNC +1.3

Proj. margin

150.8

Proj. total

68.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
• 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
• 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
• 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
• 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

• 4G.DotyG · 2.0 APG12.3
• 1S.White Jr.F · 7.7 RPG11.7
• 3G.DualG · 2.3 APG7.0
• 23L.WilsonC · 0.7 BPG9.7
• 12M.Morano2.0 RPG10.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+23.3Adj. net rating+10.8

27thAdj. net rank82nd

121.7Adj. offense114.3

98.5Adj. defense103.5

71.2Pace66.5

11.4SRS4.3

1958Elo1691

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

88.3Points85.3

68.3Opp points63.3

55.9%eFG%58.6%

12.0%TO%13.0%

26.3%OREB%28.3%

.44FT rate.39

40%3PA rate39%

48%Assisted FG%52%

Last five games

North Carolina

W76-63vs WYO

W109-70vs WOF

W80-72vs WCU

L78-82vs VCU

L79-80vs CLEM

Syracuse

L80-83@ IU

W102-49vs CCSU

W74-58vs NHVN

L69-86@ SMU

L69-71vs PITT

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UNC 77 · SYR 64Sat, 2/21

25-26SYR 77 · UNC 87Mon, 2/2

24-25UNC 88 · SYR 82Sat, 2/15

23-24UNC 79 · SYR 86Tue, 2/13

23-24SYR 67 · UNC 103Sat, 1/13

22-23UNC 72 · SYR 68Tue, 1/24

21-22SYR 79 · UNC 88Mon, 2/28

20-21UNC 70 · SYR 72Mon, 3/1

20-21SYR 75 · UNC 81Tue, 1/12

19-20UNC 53 · SYR 81Wed, 3/11

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 23 · 12:00 PM ET

VenueJMA Wireless Dome · Syracuse, NY

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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